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December 11, 2017 
3 min read
The December Fed meeting will be a funny combination of momentous and moot. On the one hand, a rate hike is all but assured and the impending leadership transitions lower the information value of the Federal Open Market Committee’s projections. On the other hand, the rate hike is expected to move the policy rate to a pivotal level – roughly neutral given the current level of inflation – and markets will be hungry for any indication they can get about how the FOMC might respond to the tax bill expected to be enacted before New Year’s. The FOMC statement is unlikely to feature major surprises, but the economic projections and dot plot will be closely watched even if they don’t deliver big changes.
What’s at Stake:
Rate hike:
The Dot Plot
The Economic Forecasts:
The FOMC Statement:
The press conference:
